Doom Creator On Whether New PlayStation Or Xbox Will Be First

You know John Carmack. He's the programming wizard responsible for games like Doom. You know what John Carmack thinks?

He thinks that Sony could release a new console before Microsoft. Here's his rationale: "The whole jockeying for who's going to release the first next gen console is very interesting and pretty divorced from the technical side of things," he says. "Whether Sony wants to jump the gun to prevent the same sort of 360 lag from happening to them again seems likely. As developers, we would really like to see this generation stretch as long as possible. We'd like to see it be quite a few more years before the next gen console comes out, but I suspect one will end up shipping something earlier rather than later."

Sony has repeatedly stated that the PS3's lifespan is ten years. The console came out in 2006 in Japan, which means that Sony is not expected to release a new console until 2016 or 2017. With the buzz around Project Natal, Microsoft has recently been talking about a longer shelf life for the Xbox 360.

But, all of this is still unconfirmed and merely speculation on Carmack's part. In the rest of the link below, Carmack offers his opinion about more futurey stuff as well.

Carmack talks next gen consoles... and beyond [Digital Foundry via GamesIndustry]


Comments

    I personally think not a whole new Xbox but definitely a whole new Xbox 360 with Natal. In-built sorta thing, somehow.

    Either way, i believe either Microsoft first again or at the same time.

    If the 360 wasn't first, i believe it would be sorta be suffering like the PS3 is at the moment. Then again, the 360 wasn't as expensive at launch as the PS3, but still expensive.

    If Sony has brains, before or same time as Xbox. If Microsoft keeps their brains, release before or same time. Nintendo, who gives a crap. They'll probably suffer like the Gamecube.

    N64 perhaps isn't their best selling. (Wii has beat those sales and the Super Nintendo etc..) but it was a very successful console and the Gamecube just bombed. Probably happen again for them.

    The PS2 also has a ten year lifespan, but the PS3 was released six years after the PS2. Next year will be the PS2's tenth year. From that it can be assumed the 'PS4' will be out around 2012/2013. I think it'll be more like 14/15 given this gen probably has a longer lifespan due to the consoles still having lots of potential.

    "Sony has repeatedly stated that the PS3’s lifespan is ten years. The console came out in 2006 in Japan, which means that Sony is not expected to release a new console until 2016 or 2017"

    Sony never said they wouldn't release another console for 10 years. They said the PS3's lifespan is 10 years. Just like the PS2 has a projected 10 year lifespan, even though the PS3 launched 6 years after it.

    I can't wait for Microsoft's next system... Who's willing to take bets on what the next Symbol of Death's going to be?

      Hahahaah! i reckon it's not gonna have a symbol. it's just gonna leave you in suspense!

    Sony usually state a lifespan of 10 years, but typically its around 10 years until they stop manufacturing the system. Video Game Generations tend to last around 4-6 years, so i predict we will see something around 2011-12.

    I'm happy for the 360 to stick around quite a while longer. I'd rather developers continue to use their growing knowledge of the current gen consoles, to release better games, rather than have to start from scratch again on an entirely new architecture.

    I'm pretty sure the 10 year lifespan doesn't necessarily mean no PS4 till 2016, the PS2 is meant to have the same 10 year lifespan (2000-2010), and the PS3 came out within that time.

    History would tell us to expect a PS4 in 2011-2012, although that seems awfully close.

    "Sony has repeatedly stated that the PS3’s lifespan is ten years. The console came out in 2006 in Japan, which means that Sony is not expected to release a new console until 2016 or 2017."

    This conclusion is all wrong. The PS3's lifespan is deemed by Sony to be 10 years, because the TOTAL life span of either the PS1 or PS2 is 10 years. This includes a significant number of years where the console was profitable but was completely overshadowed by it's successor during the last few of those years.

    I would expect a new Sony console 6-7 years after the PS3's launch, in keeping with previous generations.

    Instead of making new consoles (slim included) Sony should worry about the lack of games on their system and the poor online community. Life is a waste, they way over hyped that, Home is neat but a hassle to log in and out of and does not seamlessly allow game match making and game launching... Home should just be a super awesome lobby for online matchmaking. Game people, PS3 needs games. Not new colors of controllers, not a skinnier system, not a new system...

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