I'm going to put it on the line -- I fully believe Modern Warfare 3 is going to hold street date. There have been rumours, and there are a handful of places where you might have a chance of picking up Modern Warfare 3, but a full blown street break? It's highly unlikely at this stage.
Of course there have been leaks, but in terms of stores selling locally, every single retailer appears to be on message -- Modern Warfare 3 will not be on sale until tomorrow.
One notable exception is Dungeon Crawl, the independent retailer in Melbourne. Dungeon Crawl has fully announced it is selling early, with a message on its Facebook page stating...
Modern Warfare 3 360 & PC will be shipped today!
Retail Store ETA 2-4pm! Come at us street date!
PS3 ETA Tuesday/Wednesday.
Dungeon Crawl has confirmed multiple times that it's selling early, but considering the fact that its copies are grey imports, it can't be considered a proper street break, similar to the Ocarina of Time/GameTraders situation earlier this year.
We also heard rumours that some big retailers, such as Big W and Kmart were selling, but after a quick ring around all the local retailers, it looks as though everyone is well aware of the correct release date of the game, and are loath to sell before that date.
On the EB Games Facebook page, a user posted this image, which was promptly removed.
It looks as though this store in particular is selling early, most likely by mistake. The store is apparently located in Hawthorne, Victoria, but moderators on the EB Games Facebook page quickly removed the pic. Others are reporting that Australian friends on Xbox LIVE are already playing the game.
So that's it, for now. It looks as though the Modern Warfare 3 street date will hold firm, which is a surprise. Retailers are under a massive amount of pressure to break, but it appears as though the amount of money invested in midnight launches, along with strong messaging, has ensured that the date will hold.